Strategy Buckets
Current active listingsHarvest & Resell
0
Harvest & Subdivide
0
Hold for Carbon
0
Monitor / Pass
0
Scan window:
Strategy:
Today's Top Timber Deals
Sorted by score ↓Timber Market Insights
Virginia · acquisition contextResults
0 saved properties
⟳ Daily Database & Listings Refresh
Enabled
Scan Time
Daily trigger (ET)
Refresh Scope
Listings plus active DB records
Listing Date Window
Detect newly listed properties
Enrichment Rule
Refresh when new on market
Satellite Imagery
Run NDVI during enrichment
Daily Digest
Send scan summary
Manual Run
Start a scan immediately
🔔 Create Listing Alert
Saved Alerts
0 activeAvg Cap Rate
5.3%
↑ 0.2% vs 90 days
Median Days-to-Contract
11
RPS ≥ 65
Price-to-Rent Ratio
14.2x
RVA avg GRM
YoY Rent Growth
+3.1%
Richmond MSA
Avg RPS by Month
Richmond MSA · 12 months
Avg Cash Flow by Property Type
At 20% down · base rents
Neighborhood Rankings
By avg RPS ↓| # | Neighborhood | Avg RPS | Cap Rate | Avg Rent | Vacancy | Trend |
|---|
My Portfolio
Coming Soon
Track acquired timberland, harvest outcomes, resale or subdivision proceeds, and let real-world results train the LFS scoring engine.
Harvest Tracker
Log cruise estimates, harvest bids, actual stumpage, logging cost, and haul cost.
Timber Deal Tracker
Track harvest progress, actual stumpage revenue, and final resale price.
ML Feedback Loop
Actual outcomes feed directly into model retraining — your portfolio improves scores over time.
Performance Dashboard
Blended IRR, land basis, timber proceeds, resale profit, and subdivision deal history.
Saved Deal Selector
update actuals and rerun deal assumptionsLive LFS Preview
updates from unsaved inputs · save buttons persist changes% Mortgage Calculator
🌲 Timber Logging Costs
⚖ LFS Attribute Refinement
LFS APIs
0
Active
0
Available / Off
0
Est. LFS MVP Cost
$35–$85/mo
Required for LFS MVP
Optional later
| API Source | Data Pulled | Usage | Calls |
|---|
Daily Scan County Targets
RentCast county scanDaily scans use RentCast sale listings by county, filtered to active land listings listed in the current scan window. Statewide scans should be reserved for backfills; ZIPs are better for individual alerts and market stats.
Add County
Data Refresh Schedule
● Unsaved changes| Data Type | Source API | Refresh Cadence | Trigger / Condition | Last Run | Action |
|---|
Scoring Manager
Edit LandForge Score weights and adjustment penalties. Changes apply to all future timber scans.
LFS Scoring
♦
ML as a Second Layer — Not a Replacement
The rules-based LFS engine is the stable foundation. ML sits on top, explaining score drivers and confidence based on historical outcomes. LFS = weighted ROI, profit, harvest certainty, exit strategy, and risk. Edit weights in the Scoring Manager; ML learns the residuals over time.
5-Phase Implementation Roadmap
Phase 2 activeModel Registry
Deployed models and performance metrics
RPS Score Model v2.1Production
AlgorithmXGBoost (GBT)
Validation R²0.887
Rent Prediction MAE$94/mo
Training Rows11,240
Rules/ML Blend60% ML / 40% Rules
LFS Score Model v1.3Production
AlgorithmRF + LightGBM Ensemble
Validation R²0.841
Stumpage MAE$12.40/MBF
Rules/ML Blend45% ML / 55% Rules
Feature Importances — RPS
XGBoost gain (these are data inputs — weights are in Scoring Manager)
Feature Importances — LFS
LightGBM gain scores
ML-Learned vs Manual Weights
Tip: update Scoring Manager to align with ML recommendationsIn Richmond SFR deals, DSCR and rent-to-price ratio predict performance better than school score. For timber, mill distance outperforms soil index as a predictor of actual harvest profit.
RPS Score Tiers & Actions
Rental Property Score → action
LFS Score Tiers & Actions
LandForge Score → decision